Uhuru might lose the State House race with Jubilee

Uhuru Kenyatta is headed for another presidential defeat unless there is a paradigm shift in political prognoses at TNA. For sure, two things will happen in the not-too-distant future:  One, Musalia Mudavadi would not clinch the presidential slot in the Jubilee Alliance, because that is Uhuru’s for the taking, and Mudavadi’s supporters in the Jubilee Alliance will now defect to other parties.

 It is a monumental mistake for Uhuru to expect to receive an equivalent, or more of 2007 Kalenjin votes. Point to note here is that the Kalenjin nation prefers Musalia Mudavadi to Uhuru Kenyatta because of certain historical ties.

 The other reason Uhuru will lose is because he appears to have assumed, quite wrongly of course, that he will inherit most 2007 Kibaki votes from other communities. He will not. Already, Moses Wetangula, a senior member of Cord appears to have exported many Bukusu voters to the alliance.  The only thing that now stands on Raila Odinga’s way to becoming president is the integrity case against Kalonzo, Uhuru, Ruto, Mudavadi and Raila himself. And they have reasons to fear since the Judiciary is now not cowed and could hand all of them the red card. Yes, the country may have to reduce its expectations.

Kariuki Muiri, Karatina