Sunday December 16, 2012 - If we go by the opinions polls carried last week by Ipsos Synovate, the alliance between Prime Minister Raila Odinga and Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka takes a wide lead over their main political rivals Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta and Eldoret North MP William Ruto.
A Raila-Kalonzo ticket garnered 47 percent while Uhuru-Ruto ticket garnered 41 percent.
But, if we look at the current voter registration trend by the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC), Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto have numbers.
For instance, a large voter turnout, say 80 percent in the TNA compliant 15-county cluster of Kiambu, Murang’a, Nyandarua, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Meru, Tharaka Nithi, Embu, Laikipia, Nakuru, Isiolo, Kajiado, Marsabit, Wajir and Mandera would give Uhuru Kenyatta the greatest jet propulsion leap, since the areas have already registered a staggering 5 million votes and counting.
For Ruto, the 11 county cluster of Uashin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Baringo, Bomet, Kericho, Turkana, Samburu and Narok, West Pokot and Garissa would on a 71 percent turnout, produce 2.7 million votes and counting.
If we go by the current data of IEBC, Uhuru Kenyatta’s backyard has over 5 million votes as at December 14, while Ruto backyard has over 2.7 million votes. In total the two regions have over 7.7 million and counting.
Remember numbers do not lie.
The Kenyan DAILY POST
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