The United Kingdom has refuted claims by politicians and activists that the International community will shun Kenya in-case Uhuru Kenyatta wins the March general election.
A similar sentiment was shared by the White House after US president Barrack Obama confirmed that the United States will work and embrace a democratically elected president of Kenya.
Kenya’s national security would be at risk if the international community confirmed otherwise if UhuruKenyatta wins the upcoming general elections.
National Security Definition in Reference to Kenya’s Election Outcome
According to Strategic Intelligence News Service, “National security is the ability to preserve the nation’s physical integrity and territory; to maintain its economic relations with the rest of the world on reasonable terms; to preserve its nature, institution, and governance from disruption from outside; and to control its borders.”
“National security is an appropriate and aggressive blend of political resilience and maturity, human resources, economic structure and capacity, technological competence, industrial base and availability of natural resources and finally the military might.”
“National security… is best described as the capacity to control those domestic and foreign conditions that the public opinion of a given community believes necessary to enjoy its own self-determination or autonomy, prosperity and wellbeing.”
In reference to this definition of National Security, the threat that the economic relations with the rest of the world on reasonable terms were under threat has, as such been neutralized, whereby, the US and UK governments have reassured Kenya.
Wherein the above clause has been confirmed herewith by United Kingdom, that; “The UK and Kenya matter to each other. No one wishes to isolate Kenya from the International Community. Our relationship stems from the deep and historic ties between our peoples, and our vital shared interests. These interests are political, economic, commercial, cultural and in relation to security. Some 200,000 nationals visit each country a year, we have over Sh130bn in bilateral trade a year and we look towards doubling our volume ofinvestments in four years,”
Key Factors that are Changing International Community Policy on Kenya
The ICC has been struggling to piece up credible prosecution to mitigate risks of losing the case due to shoddy investigations, loss of key witnesses, and lack of credible witnesses.
The CIA and British intelligence Services have identified willingness in the Uhuru Kenyatta team to propel Kenya to better heights besides commitment to work with the ICC owing to the fact that, the ICC prosecution team has a weak case.
The intelligence community has observed lack of commitment by Odinga to put in place measures that can stymie emotions that cause ethnic divisions and instead, has taken up policies that rather divide the republic to marshal political support.
The numbers of the electorate that support Uhuru Kenyatta on tribal lines are too huge based on the actual numbers provided by the IEBC.
Political analysts have continued to indicate that Kenyatta is likely to win the election in either round one or in a runoff.
This analysis sheds light on a myriad of factors that critically contribute to what the political class in Kenya use as strategies in the political campaigns and how these factors have shaped the eventual outcome of the election and the Kenyan foriegn policy.
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